Friday, March 22, 2013
You know that statistic that says only 5% of people who try to lose weight actually lose weight? And that of them, only 20% keep it off?
That's pretty discouraging, isn't it? And if you have low self-efficacy, it's easy to throw in the towel and gorge, and then enter the diet and weight loss Empire again, isn't it?
But what is the actual number like?
Of my FB friends, that I know of (may be more), I have 30 friends (out of 290) that I know lost at least some weight (where I noticed a change) and kept it off, as far as I know. Some of them have lost a lot of weight, some just a little weight. But I'm sure there are more who have lost weight, and I just didn't know about it. If I include myself (I have twice lost a good amount of weight and kept it off for years - even though I feel like I'm just beginning, I was 25 lbs heavier and much weaker when I had Avery).
That's 10.6% of ALL of my FB friends. Regardless of weight, regardless of whether they have honestly tried to lose weight, and even out of the 10.6%, I don't know if more have lost weight but I haven't seen them. So how about - how many of my FB friends, that I know of, are at least overweight, or have been in the past? How about I just take 2/3 of my friends, since 2/3 of the population is overweight or obese. That's a good guess. That is 192.
31/192 = 16%
Now, that is assuming that all of those overweight/obese estimated people actually TRIED to lose weight - like, made a conscious effort. How many of them religiously tracked foods, ran, did serious strength training, ate five freggies per day, etc...? I'll be kind, even with my lazy friends, and say that 75% of them seriously tried weight loss at some point.
Seventy-five percent of 192 = 144.
31/144 = 22%
So, if 22% of my FB friends (again, this is an estimate based on population values and off-the-cuff-conservative-hypo
theses) have lost at least SOME weight, where I noticed, and kept it off...
Then I have to ask:
1) Do I have a special population of FB friends? I'd say no. They're typical midwestern folk.
2) Where does the 5% number even come from!? And why does the Diet and Weight Loss Empire keep pulling it out and toting it around, reminding you, "You're probably going to fail... but you can succeed with us! Unless you suck, in which case, you failllll...."
3) Why don't they want us to know that more people actually succeed? Having a 1/5 chance vs. a 1/20 chance... that's a big difference. Almost makes you feel... better about your odds, doesn't it? Makes you think - hey, if I keep at this thing, I have good odds of succeeding!
Unfortunately, I see a lot of people come and go on Sparkpeople, that are here for a short time, and then give up and disappear. I also know a lot of people who have been at this for YEEEAAAARRRSSS... me included.
But there's hope. There really is hope.
Here's an article:
This morning felt good at the Y. I did deadlifts and improved my form. I'm feeling better about them. I increased my weight to 55lbs (10 lbs on a 45 lb bar), and I'll be ready to add more next time - maybe to 65lbs, and see how I do. I did shoulder presses holding 20lbs, and it was SO HARD but some girls (in the weight room!!??) had the 15 lb weights. I also added weights to my lunges (I HATE LUNGES) for a total of 20 lbs. I felt good about that. So, I'm coming along.